HARRY TURBO - Harry Turbo doesn’t have the greatest overall strike rate, but one thing he does have is gate speed. He can use it here to find the top and has been getting run down of late over the longer trips and with his main danger likely to have to work to get outside him at some stage, he should be able to give a kick when asked. The inside runners won’t be wanting the front so the lead should be there and makes him look tough to run down.
HOME SOIL - Running off my trial eye, this is over the odds in the opener. I concede the favourite Munich is well credentialled and trialled solidly a week ago but he’s had a few chances now and if he was a star he wouldn’t still be a maiden. The second favourite is God Of Thunder which comes out of the same trial as Home Soil. God Of Thunder finished ahead of Home Soil but their trials were similar, neither horse being knocked around in the straight, going to the line with plenty to offer to the eye. What changes here? Home Soil was the quickest to begin in his trial but when they kicked up inside him he was eased back toward the tail of the field, then had to be checked when going to well behind them at the top of the straight. He’s drawn barrier 3 for his debut and he has the natural speed to make use of the gate and race right on the speed, I doubt God Of Thunder will race in advance of him here from a wider draw and if he does, he’ll have done his share of work. That’s the key and Home Soil’s over the odds from what I saw at the trials.
INTUITION - He needed the run first-up when his condition gave out in a brutally-run race at Rosehill two and a half weeks ago. The form out of that race may be questionable, three out of that race finished out of the placings on Saturday and Fox Swift was down the track at Doomben, but I’m assessing Intuition for a midweek race and horses not beaten that far in the previous run in Saturday grade normally perform well against midweek company. Intuition is a horse that has improved noticeably second-up in each of his past two preps and maps to secure a decent run here. The favourite here is the progressive Noble Creed but he’s drawn wide out so will have to go back and this is Canterbury, not Newcastle. I’m happy to be with Intuition at close to double-figure odds.
TAIKOMOOCHI - Here’s another one coming back from Saturday grade. This Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott galloper now gets to a trip that I expect will suit. He’s fourth-up for this and should be set to peak off two respectable efforts, the last which was an improvement from his previous run when second-up during the Hawkesbury stand-alone meeting. Taikomochi should be able to dictate the speed here and if he does lead, my map indicates he’ll get his own way and if that’s how the race plays out, he’ll prove hard to run down.
DAME OF THRONES - There was a tip around the Warrnambool track for Dame Of Thrones on debut and she ran a solid race in what should turn out a good form race. She got a long way back on a similar surface to what we’ll have here and steamed home, so she’ll have no issue with the going and the winner Write Enuff (half-sister to Rich Enuff) was out rolling in front and looks a smart horse. Perfectly suited out to the 1200m, if she can be a touch closer from the good gate she should prove hard to hold out. Anjana does look hardest to beat but respect any betting moves with so many lightly-raced horses and four on debut.